Flow-Driven Corporate Finance: A Supply-Demand Approach
(sole author), 2025.
This paper develops a supply-demand framework to quantify and decompose the effects of investor demand on corporate financing and investment. The framework extends demand-based asset pricing models by incorporating endogenous corporate decisions. Using Gabaix and Koijen (2024)'s granular instrumental variable approach, I estimate the model parameters and find that a $1 investor flow generates $0.012 in share issuance within the first quarter and a cumulative $0.24 over two years. Similarly, a 1% investor flow increases firm investment by 0.19% over two years. The results reveal significant asymmetry: firms respond more strongly to inflows than to outflows. Counterfactual analysis shows that investor preferences substantially dampen firms' investment responses to flows. The framework also provides a novel tool to evaluate firms' role in stabilizing the stock market.